Social media is a buzz with support for Gerly Adrien—get togethers, meet and greets, canvassing and the like. Adrien is seeking to wrest the Everett state representative seat from Joe McGonagle, the hard-to-track down and even harder to get to commit to share his views with voters in this election cycle is running for his third term. Former state Rep. Stat Smith is also running. Adrien would appear to have peaked at just the right time. She may have captured the all-important “big momentum.”
Midterm elections are notoriously fickle. Such contests that fall on the day after Labor Day are simply unpredictable. So, the best we can do is just try to understand how the race is evolving. Here are some things to keep in mind:
1. Signage isn’t everything. Any candidate in any race would prefer to always have good visibility. However, you could have a sign on every street corner, that doesn’t guarantee victory.
2. Adrien is from the mold of the new type of political: young, smart, with a tireless work ethic with deep roots and support in communities of color.
3. No matter how you slice it, Stat Smith went to the big house for voter fraud. When the accompanying prohibition on running for or holding office expired, he immediately got in the current race. I’ve met Smith twice. He seems like a nice guy, but still…. I am all for second chances but if you rob a bank, when you get out of prison, you don’t get to be a teller. What is this, Bridgeport?
4. Rep. McGonagle is wholly unaccomplished on Beacon Hill. The legislative record he touts is largely the rooster taking credit for the dawn. A check of Massachusetts House and Senate website shows freshman lawmakers with more accomplishments.
5. There were several chances for McGonagle to appear in candidate forums—debates sponsored by groups made up of people of color. He stiffed them. That’s reason enough to turn the reigns over to someone new.
6. What will the turnout be? I can’t imagine we can’t fix the problem of picking the date of a primary for the Tuesday of Labor Day. Secretary of State Galvin says he was in a box as to the date because of where religious holidays fall in September. Also, weather will play a part. Low voter turnout helps the incumbent.